Willy Adames

Willy Adames

26-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Milwaukee Brewers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
At 25 years old, Adames already has more than 1,100 PA under his belt at the major-league level. Known more for his glove at shortstop, Adames seemed to be making major strides at the plate in 2020 only to lose a lot of that steam in the playoffs. He was 37% better than league average by wRC+ during the regular season, but he also struck out 36.1% of the time and those swing-and-miss issues carried over to the postseason (25 strikeouts in 59 at-bats). Statcast paints a pretty grim picture when it comes to expected stats, and Adames' whiff rate on offspeed pitches stands out as an obvious red flag. We still like the talent and pedigree, but complicating matters is the fact that Wander Franco, the top prospect in baseball, is breathing down his neck. Adames' defense remains a plus and it's not out of the question that Franco could break in at second base and push Brandon Lowe to the outfield full time. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#396
ADP
$Traded to the Brewers in May of 2021.
Collects multi-hit performance
SSMilwaukee Brewers
October 12, 2021
Adames went 2-for-4 in Game 3 of the NLDS against Atlanta on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Adames got on base with a pair of singles, but his club was unable to capitalize, as Milwaukee was shut out for the second consecutive contest. He's now 4-for-12 with a double and six strikeouts over the first three games of the NLDS.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
17
4
4
12
12
8
7
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
24
1
1
5
1
10
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+42%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .706 419 50 18 40 3 .220 .290 .415
Since 2019vs Right .815 925 125 35 108 8 .275 .344 .471
2021vs Left .771 168 21 8 18 1 .235 .321 .450
2021vs Right .838 387 56 17 55 4 .273 .344 .494
2020vs Left .992 53 11 2 7 1 .319 .396 .596
2020vs Right .751 152 18 6 16 1 .239 .309 .442
2019vs Left .575 198 18 8 15 1 .181 .235 .341
2019vs Right .817 386 51 12 37 3 .292 .358 .458
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+48%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+103%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+62%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .623 625 58 19 62 5 .202 .272 .350
Since 2019Away .919 719 117 34 86 6 .307 .375 .544
2021Home .734 261 31 13 40 2 .214 .307 .428
2021Away .890 294 46 12 33 3 .302 .364 .526
2020Home .511 86 8 1 6 1 .165 .233 .278
2020Away 1.035 119 21 7 17 1 .330 .403 .632
2019Home .557 278 19 5 16 2 .204 .253 .304
2019Away .903 306 50 15 36 2 .303 .375 .528
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Stat Review
How does Willy Adames compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.37
 
BB Rate
10.3%
 
K Rate
28.1%
 
BABIP
.331
 
ISO
.219
 
AVG
.262
 
OBP
.337
 
SLG
.481
 
OPS
.818
 
wOBA
.356
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.0%
 
Barrels/PA
7.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Willy Adames
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
8 days ago
Mike Barner recommends checking out the Dodgers’ Corey Seager on Tuesday in Game 4 against the Giants.
The Z Files: Playoff Primer, NFBC Postseason Holdem
13 days ago
Todd Zola discusses his strategy in assembling a lineup for the NFBC's postseason contest and recommends considering your alternatives if a player like Freddie Freeman gets eliminated.
Playoff Primer: The Rankings
15 days ago
Todd Zola ranks players by position for fantasy playoff leagues. Chicago's Jose Abreu is tough to beat at first base.
Collette Calls: Bold Predictions Accountability - Hitters
17 days ago
Jason Collette grades his preseason predictions, and while missed a few here and there, he nailed Yuli Gurriel's rise.
MLB Barometer: End of Season Risers and Fallers
23 days ago
In his last Barometer of the season, Erik Halterman looks at players whose finish in earned auction value diverged most from their preseason draft position, starting with Jose Ramirez.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
There was a time when .254 with 20 homers and four steals from a shortstop would be envied. Now, the position is the infield's strongest. Adames is still just 24 years and showing signs of improvement, despite what appears to be a downturn from his rookie campaign. Adames doesn't have an elite ceiling, but he can elevate up the ranks. His contact, hard-hit rate and average exit velocity all increased during his sophomore season; the results just don't reflect the gains. Adames' xwOBA in 2018 was .293 while it was .315 last season, illustrating the better skills, though that mark is still tepid compared to other shortstops. Adames' perceived step back creates a buying opportunity for a cheap middle infielder with breakout potential, including steals as his sprint speed is well above average. Plus, he's the rare Tampa position player in the lineup nearly every day thanks to his stellar defense.
Stop us if you have heard this story before: prospect crushes Triple-A pitching while fans and fantasy players pine for his promotion. Player is promoted, has early success, but then goes into a huge slump. Prospect is demoted, comes back with a new mindset, and eventually reaches the levels of success everyone hoped he would immediately enjoy. Blake Snell did that in 2017 and Adames did that in 2018. He hit .224/.227/.329 with a 34% strikeout rate before he was demoted in July, but returned to hit .305/.383/.435 over the rest of the season with a 27% strikeout rate and an 11% walk rate. The power will come as he continues to physically mature as he is still just 23 years old. He will hit 20 homers in a season before he steals 10 bases, and that could happen in 2019. Adames is not going to be a superstar, but he will be a better-than-average offensive shortstop for the foreseeable future.
There may not be a better example in the minors of the difference between game power and raw power. Adames has never hit more than 11 home runs in a season and his career-high ISO is .159. However, he is one of the strongest shortstops in pro ball and has plus raw power. As he grows more comfortable and receives more upper-level instruction, he will start to access that power more in games, and when he does, his stock will explode. His best current offensive skill is his ability to work the count and get on base at a high clip, posting walk rates over 11 percent ever since joining the Rays in 2014. This pairs nicely with his above-average hit tool, and should eventually allow him to hit near the top of a big-league lineup. Adames will chip in a handful of steals, but he is not a burner. Some have questioned whether he would stick at shortstop long term, but he silenced the doubters in 2017, and should take over as the Rays' shortstop of the future early this season.
The 21-year-old enjoyed a strong year at Double-A Montgomery, slashing .274/.366/.409 with career highs in homers, walks and stolen bases. His numbers were up across the board from his 2015 campaign at High-A Charlotte, and he now looks to take the next step at Triple-A Durham in the coming season. Part of his improvement was in the area of plate discipline, as he lowered his strikeout rate almost a full six percentage points to 21.3 percent. Adames was added to the Rays' 40-man roster on Nov. 18, and if he continues to thrive in Triple-A, he could potentially see the field with the big league club before the end of the 2017 campaign. Based on his body of work to date, Adames projects as an excellent multi-category fantasy producer whenever he does settle in with the Rays for good.
Adames came to Tampa Bay in the David Price deal and is a very intriguing prospect, despite what the stats have been thus far. He will open the season in Double-A Montgomery as a 20-year-old, making him one of the youngest players in the league at a critical position. With Daniel Robertson in front of him, the Rays have no reason to rush him to the majors, but of the two, it is likely Adames that will stick at shortstop while Robertson goes to second base. The offense should begin to look better as he fills out physically. The recent acquisition of Brad Miller under a few more years of player control almost ensures Adames won’t be seen until 2018.
Adames was the third piece the Rays received in the David Price deal, and unlike Drew Smyly and Nick Franklin, Adames is several years away from the big leagues. However, he has the potential to be the best player of the three, especially if he can stick up the middle. A bat-first shortstop, Adames spent his entire age-18 season at the Low-A affiliates of the Tigers and the Rays, compiling a .271/.353/.429 slash line with eight home runs and six steals in 514 plate appearances. For an 18-year-old to do that in a full season league suggests he is advanced enough with the stick to move fast if his defense does not hold him back. An optimistic ETA would be late 2016, with a more likely debut in the summer of 2017. Still, in dynasty leagues where each team gets 10 minor league keepers, Adames needs to be owned based on his potential production in power and batting average, which should play even if he gets moved to third base.
More Fantasy News
Sends homer No. 25
SSMilwaukee Brewers
October 3, 2021
Adames went 1-for-2 with a solo home run, an additional run and two walks in an 8-3 loss to the Dodgers on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to lineup
SSMilwaukee Brewers
September 29, 2021
Adames (quadriceps) is starting Wednesday's game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched with quad issue
SSMilwaukee Brewers
Quadriceps
September 28, 2021
Adames was scratched from Tuesday's lineup at St. Louis due to left quadriceps discomfort, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Leads Crew to division-clinching win
SSMilwaukee Brewers
September 27, 2021
Adames went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run, a walk, three RBI and three runs scored in Sunday's 8-4 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep Friday
SSMilwaukee Brewers
September 25, 2021
Adames went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's 5-1 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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