Tarik Skubal
27-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
1-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.50
K
6
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal underwent left flexor tendon surgery in August of 2022 and his rehab extended through the first three months of last season. He was on a limited pitch count initially upon his return and there were some bumps in the road early, but Skubal eventually rounded into form, going 4-1 with a 1.25 ERA, 0.67 WHIP and 52:6 K:BB in his final six starts (36 innings). A ninth-round pick in 2018, Skubal changed up his formula last season, dialing back his slider usage significantly for more four-seam fastballs and changeups. The changeup proved to be a big swing-and-miss pitch for him (50.6 Whiff% per Statcast) -- he still threw his slider, but the changeup became his primary secondary pitch behind the four-seamer. In total, the southpaw pitched just 95 innings last season, but if healthy, he should approach his career high of 149.1 innings set in 2021. Entering his age-27 season, Skubal will face an uphill battle every time he takes the ball for Detroit, but his skills are enticing. Read Past Outlooks
Dazzles in Opening Day win
Skubal (1-0) tossed six scoreless innings to earn the win Thursday against the White Sox. He allowed three hits and struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Skubal left after tossing 83 pitches, and if it wasn't his first start of the season, he may have been allowed to go longer as he was dominant while in the contest. The southpaw compiled a 2.80 ERA and 0.90 WHIP across 15 outings last year, which got off to a delayed start due to left flexor tendon surgery in August of 2022. If Skubal can stay healthy and log a full workload in 2024, he could be in line for a true breakout campaign as Detroit's ace.
Skubal left after tossing 83 pitches, and if it wasn't his first start of the season, he may have been allowed to go longer as he was dominant while in the contest. The southpaw compiled a 2.80 ERA and 0.90 WHIP across 15 outings last year, which got off to a delayed start due to left flexor tendon surgery in August of 2022. If Skubal can stay healthy and log a full workload in 2024, he could be in line for a true breakout campaign as Detroit's ace.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-100%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .207 | 23 | 3 | 30 | 2 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .223 | 202 | 43 | 135 | 11 | |||
2024vs Left | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | .188 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .125 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
2023vs Right | .210 | 98 | 12 | 53 | 3 | |||
2022vs Left | .250 | 18 | 1 | 25 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .234 | 99 | 31 | 79 | 8 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-31%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.53 | 1.01 | 96.0 | 10.0 | 2.3 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.67 | 1.06 | 108.0 | 9.8 | 1.8 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0.00 | 0.50 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
2023Home | 1.37 | 0.79 | 39.1 | 13.5 | 1.6 | ||||
2023Away | 4.17 | 1.00 | 41.0 | 9.4 | 1.5 | ||||
2022Home | 3.34 | 1.16 | 56.2 | 7.6 | 2.9 | ||||
2022Away | 3.69 | 1.15 | 61.0 | 10.2 | 2.1 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
7.29K/9
11.4BB/9
1.6HR/9
0.4Fastball
95.8 mphERA
2.80WHIP
0.90BABIP
.302GB/FB
1.94Left On Base
66.3%Exit Velocity
81.5 mphBarrels/BBE
2.9%Spin Rate
2040 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.1%Swinging Strike
15.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Won't be dealt
The Tigers have decided not to move Skubal before the trade deadline, reports Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press.
ANALYSIS
Skubal exited Monday's start with arm fatigue after throwing five scoreless innings. Detroit was reportedly willing to listen to offers on Skubal, hoping that the thin starting pitcher market would result in an overwhelming offer. The 25-year-old has a 3.52 ERA and 117:32 K:BB in 117.2 innings this season and is under team control through the 2026 season. It's unknown as of now whether or not he'll miss any time because of arm fatigue but it's likely that the Tigers will proceed cautiously with Skubal for the rest of the season.
Skubal exited Monday's start with arm fatigue after throwing five scoreless innings. Detroit was reportedly willing to listen to offers on Skubal, hoping that the thin starting pitcher market would result in an overwhelming offer. The 25-year-old has a 3.52 ERA and 117:32 K:BB in 117.2 innings this season and is under team control through the 2026 season. It's unknown as of now whether or not he'll miss any time because of arm fatigue but it's likely that the Tigers will proceed cautiously with Skubal for the rest of the season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal appeared to be in the middle of a breakout campaign in 2022, but the lefty was unfortunately shut down in early August with left arm fatigue, and he subsequently underwent flexor tendon surgery. Before getting shut down, Skubal had posted a 3.52 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 117 strikeouts across 117.2 innings. His K/9 dipped from 9.88 in 2021 to 8.95 in 2022, but his numbers were otherwise better across the board, including an impressive 2.95 FIP. Skubal will only be 24 years old when the 2023 season begins, so there's still plenty of potential here down the road, but he's expected to begin the year on the injured list and miss a decent chunk of time. Fantasy managers in standard leagues will want to keep an eye on Skubal, and he could be a decent pickup when he returns, though the Tigers will undoubtedly be cautious with him. He does have more value in keeper and dynasty formats, where his outlook beyond 2023 looks brighter.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out five in spring start
Skubal allowed three runs on eight hits across four innings of work in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates. He walked one and struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Throws simulated game Sunday
Skubal skipped a potential Grapefruit League matchup against the Mets on Sunday and instead tossed 60 pitches in a simulated game, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Tapped for Opening Day start
Tigers manager A.J. Hinch announced Friday that Skubal will start Opening Day against the White Sox, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Effective in spring debut
Skubal tossed two scoreless innings in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates. He walked one and struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Hits 100 mph in live BP
Skubal touched 100 mph on his last pitch of live batting practice Tuesday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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