Bryce Elder

Bryce Elder

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A fifth-round pick in the 2020 MLB Draft out of the University of Texas, Elder rocketed through Atlanta's minor-league system and made his big-league debut in April of 2022 at the ripe age of 22. He's enjoyed a good amount of success so far at baseball's highest level, carrying a 3.66 ERA through his first 228.2 innings of work with Atlanta, but the now 24-year-old right-hander probably won't be overly popular in fantasy drafts this spring because of his low strikeout rate. Leaning heavily on cutters, sinkers and sliders, Elder likes to put batters away by inducing soft contact as opposed to the more elite fantasy starters who rack up punchouts. He should be a solid source of ERA help and wins with a locked-in rotation spot for the reigning NL East champions, but don't count on a sudden change in approach. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#481
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with Atlanta in March of 2024.
Option for big-league rotation
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
April 11, 2024
Elder is a top candidate to fill Atlanta's vacant rotation spot, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Atlanta needs to fill the rotation spot of Spencer Strider (elbow), and there are a number of candidates to step into the role. Elder experienced plenty of success in the majors last year, as he posted a 3.81 ERA and 1.28 WHIP across 173.2 innings. He faded down the stretch, however, and then failed to secure a rotation spot out of spring training. The team's current plans should become clearer this weekend, as Elder is currently expected to start Saturday for Triple-A Gwinnett, which would in turn make him unavailable to start Tuesday for Atlanta. Dylan Dodd is the other top candidate for a promotion, while Darius Vines is also in the mix.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2023 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .239 483 70 45 102 25 2 13
Since 2022vs Right .240 475 105 41 102 17 1 10
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .241 380 55 36 81 18 2 10
2023vs Right .248 351 73 27 79 14 1 9
2022vs Left .231 103 15 9 21 7 0 3
2022vs Right .215 124 32 14 23 3 0 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-11%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.39 1.23 116.2 8 2 0 7.2 3.4 1.1
Since 2022Away 3.94 1.31 112.0 6 6 0 6.6 3.4 0.7
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 3.61 1.23 94.2 7 1 0 6.9 3.2 1.1
2023Away 4.05 1.34 80.0 5 3 0 6.2 3.3 0.8
2022Home 2.45 1.23 22.0 1 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
2022Away 3.66 1.25 32.0 1 3 0 7.6 3.7 0.6
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Elder See More
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Wire for the Week
5 days ago
A couple Philly pitchers highlight Jan Levine's latest NL rundown.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
12 days ago
Jan Levine details a few pitchers who could soon make their way back from injuries.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
26 days ago
Jan Levine kicks off the column for 2024 and examines all the NL positional battles.
Spring Training Job Battles: National League Update
29 days ago
Who's winning the National League's biggest job battles, and who's losing them? Three injuries in the Marlins rotation have put A.J. Puk in the former camp.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL East
29 days ago
Brad Johnson concludes his deep dive into pitching staffs with the National League East, where in Atlanta, Spencer Strider is at the top of his game.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could start Game 3
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
October 10, 2023
Elder is an option to start Game 3 of the NLDS against the Phillies on Wednesday, per Mark Bowman of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander is on schedule to pitch Wednesday after throwing in an intrasquad game last Thursday, and he remains a candidate to take the mound. However, Elder surrendered 13 earned runs across his final three starts of the regular season, which could prompt Atlanta to go in a different direction. AJ Smith-Shawver is the other potential candidate to start or work in a bulk-relief role.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
This is an endgame pick that should please the Elder Gods. While Elder does not light up the radar gun with overpowering stuff -- he clocks in around 90-91 mph -- the right-hander does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground with his sinking fastball. He allowed just a single homer on the sinker last season (369 thrown). The slider, cutter and changeup complement the primary pitch, giving Elder a diverse repertoire that projects well in the Atlanta starting rotation. His 10.1 K-BB% from his rookie season does little to excite, but the team context and a groundball rate pushing 50% give Elder streaming appeal in a wide variety of leagues. He threw his cutter almost exclusively against left-handed batters last season. While the cutter was effective for him, it's not a big swing-and-miss pitch, so the slider and changeup will have to do the heavy lifting if he's to take a step forward with the strikeouts in 2023.
Elder is a true starting pitcher all the way, with four pitches (sinker, cutter, changeup, slider) that he throws over 20% of the time. All of his pitches have excellent vertical movement, which helps make up for the fact that his sinker tops out in the low-90s. His changeup and slider are what he relies on for whiffs, but he is also willing to pitch to contact, having logged groundball rates over 50% in the minors. Elder was thrust into action as Atlanta's sixth starter early this season. If he is able to command his pitches and limit hard contact, he could be up for most of the season, but it is conceivable he could be sent to Triple-A for more seasoning, given that he only made seven starts there in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Opening at Triple-A
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 18, 2024
Atlanta optioned Elder to Triple-A Gwinnett on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles against O's
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 14, 2024
Elder gave up five runs on five hits and three walks over 4.1 innings in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Orioles. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Still in mix for rotation
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 8, 2024
Elder struck out six over 3.1 innings in Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Red Sox. He gave up one run on two hits and two walks.
ANALYSIS
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Uneven outing Friday
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 2, 2024
Elder gave up three runs on four hits over three innings in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Orioles. He struck out three without walking a batter,
ANALYSIS
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Competing for fifth spot
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
December 30, 2023
Atlanta general manager Alex Anthopoulos said Saturday that Elder will compete with Reynaldo Lopez and AJ Smith-Shawver for the fifth spot in the rotation, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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